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A review of seismic hazard assessment studies and hazard description in the building codes for Egypt

Research Abstract
Reduction of damage in earthquake-prone areas requires modern building codes that should be continuously updated to reflect the improvement in our understanding of the physical effects of earthquake ground shaking on buildings and the increase in the quality and amount of seismological and tectonic studies, among other factors. This work reviews the published seismic hazard assessments available for Egypt as well as the seismic actions included in the building codes, in order to show the state-of-the-art of the seismic hazard assessment studies for the country. The review includes the history and development of seismic hazard assessments and the adoption of seismic building codes in Egypt. All the previous studies were analyzed in order to conclude that a new seismic hazard assessment according to the state-of-the-art is desirable, as well as a change in the hazard description for the actual Egyptian building code.
Research Authors
Sawires, R., Peláez, J.A., Fat-Helbary, R.E., and Ibrahim, H.A.
Research Department
Research Journal
Acta Geodaetica et Geophysica
Research Member
Research Pages
DOI 10.1007/s40328-015-0117-5
Research Publisher
Akade´miai Kiado´ 2015
Research Rank
1
Research Vol
NULL
Research Website
https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s40328-015-0117-5
Research Year
2015

A review of seismic hazard assessment studies and hazard description in the building codes for Egypt

Research Abstract
Reduction of damage in earthquake-prone areas requires modern building codes that should be continuously updated to reflect the improvement in our understanding of the physical effects of earthquake ground shaking on buildings and the increase in the quality and amount of seismological and tectonic studies, among other factors. This work reviews the published seismic hazard assessments available for Egypt as well as the seismic actions included in the building codes, in order to show the state-of-the-art of the seismic hazard assessment studies for the country. The review includes the history and development of seismic hazard assessments and the adoption of seismic building codes in Egypt. All the previous studies were analyzed in order to conclude that a new seismic hazard assessment according to the state-of-the-art is desirable, as well as a change in the hazard description for the actual Egyptian building code.
Research Authors
Sawires, R., Peláez, J.A., Fat-Helbary, R.E., and Ibrahim, H.A.
Research Department
Research Journal
Acta Geodaetica et Geophysica
Research Member
Research Pages
DOI 10.1007/s40328-015-0117-5
Research Publisher
Akade´miai Kiado´ 2015
Research Rank
1
Research Vol
NULL
Research Website
https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s40328-015-0117-5
Research Year
2015

Analysis of the 2012–2013 Torreperogil-Sabiote seismic swarm

Research Abstract
This study analyses the temporal clustering, spatial clustering, and statistics of the 2012–2013 Torreperogil-Sabiote (southern Spain) seismic swarm. During the swarm, more than 2200 events were located, mostly at depths of 2–5 km, with magnitude event up to mbLg 3.9 (Mw 3.7). On the basis of daily activity rate, three main temporal phases are identified and analysed. The analysis combines different seismological relationships to improve our understanding of the physical processes related to the swarm’s occurrence. Each temporal phase is characterized by its cumulative seismic moment. Using several different approaches, we estimate a catalog completeness magnitude of c m ≅1.5. The maximum likelihood b-value estimates for each swarm phase are 1.11 ± 0.09, 1.04 ± 0.04, and 0.90 ± 0.04, respectively. To test the hypothesis that a b-value decrease is a precursor to a large event, westudy temporal variations in b-value using overlapping moving windows. A relationship can be inferred between change in b-value and the regime style of the rupture. b-values are indicators of the stress regime, and influence the size of ruptures. The fractal dimension 2 D is used to perform spatial analysis. Cumulative gamma and beta functions are used to analyse the behaviour of inter-event distances during the earthquake sequence.
Research Authors
Hamdache, M., Peláez, J.A., Henares, J., Damerdji, Y., and Sawires, R.
Research Department
Research Journal
Physics and Chemistry of the Earth
Research Member
Research Pages
DOI: 10.1016/j.pce.2016.01.003.
Research Publisher
NULL
Research Rank
1
Research Vol
NULL
Research Website
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1474706516000061
Research Year
2016

Delineation and characterization of a new seismic source model for seismic hazard studies in Egypt

Research Abstract
In the present study, a new seismic source model for the Egyptian territory and its surroundings is proposed. This model can be readily used for seismic hazard assessment and seismic forecasting studies. Seismicity data, focal mechanism solutions, as well as all available geological and tectonic information (e.g. active faults) were taken into account during the definition of this model, in an attempt to define zones which do not show only a rather homogeneous seismicity release, but also exhibit similar seismotectonic characteristics. This work presents a comprehensive description of the different tectonic features and their associated seismicity to define the possible seismic sources in and around Egypt. The proposed seismic source model comprises 28 seismic sources covering the shallow seismicity for the Egyptian territory and its surroundings. In addition, for the Eastern Mediterranean region, we considered the shallow seismic source zones, used in the SHARE project for estimating the seismic hazard for Europe. Furthermore, to cover the intermediate-depth seismicity, seven intermediate seismic source zones were delineated in the Eastern Mediterranean region. Following the determination of zone boundaries, a separate earthquake and focal mechanism sub-catalogue for each seismic zone was created. Seismicity parameters (b-value, activity ‘‘a-value’’ and maximum expected magnitude) have been computed for each source. In addition, the predominant focal mechanism solution was assigned for each source zone using the stress field inversion approach. The proposed seismic source model and its related seismicity parameters can be employed directly in seismic hazard assessment studies for Egypt.
Research Authors
Sawires, R, Pela´ez, J.A., Ibrahim, H.A., Fat-Helbary, R.E., Henares, J., Hamdache, M.
Research Department
Research Journal
Natural Hazards
Research Member
Research Pages
1823-1864
Research Publisher
Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2015
Research Rank
1
Research Vol
80
Research Website
https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11069-015-2034-x
Research Year
2016

Delineation and characterization of a new seismic source model for seismic hazard studies in Egypt

Research Abstract
In the present study, a new seismic source model for the Egyptian territory and its surroundings is proposed. This model can be readily used for seismic hazard assessment and seismic forecasting studies. Seismicity data, focal mechanism solutions, as well as all available geological and tectonic information (e.g. active faults) were taken into account during the definition of this model, in an attempt to define zones which do not show only a rather homogeneous seismicity release, but also exhibit similar seismotectonic characteristics. This work presents a comprehensive description of the different tectonic features and their associated seismicity to define the possible seismic sources in and around Egypt. The proposed seismic source model comprises 28 seismic sources covering the shallow seismicity for the Egyptian territory and its surroundings. In addition, for the Eastern Mediterranean region, we considered the shallow seismic source zones, used in the SHARE project for estimating the seismic hazard for Europe. Furthermore, to cover the intermediate-depth seismicity, seven intermediate seismic source zones were delineated in the Eastern Mediterranean region. Following the determination of zone boundaries, a separate earthquake and focal mechanism sub-catalogue for each seismic zone was created. Seismicity parameters (b-value, activity ‘‘a-value’’ and maximum expected magnitude) have been computed for each source. In addition, the predominant focal mechanism solution was assigned for each source zone using the stress field inversion approach. The proposed seismic source model and its related seismicity parameters can be employed directly in seismic hazard assessment studies for Egypt.
Research Authors
Sawires, R, Pela´ez, J.A., Ibrahim, H.A., Fat-Helbary, R.E., Henares, J., Hamdache, M.
Research Department
Research Journal
Natural Hazards
Research Member
Research Pages
1823-1864
Research Publisher
Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2015
Research Rank
1
Research Vol
80
Research Website
https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11069-015-2034-x
Research Year
2016

An earthquake catalogue (2200 B.C. to 2013) for seismotectonic and seismic hazard assessment studies in Egypt

Research Abstract
Of all natural hazards, earthquakes are those which historically have caused the most extensive impact and disruption in terms of damage to infrastructure, human-casualties and economic losses. They are the expression of a continuing evolution of the Earth Planet and a reshaping of the Earth’s surface. They are the most deadly of all natural disasters affecting the human environment. Every year more than one million earthquakes shake different regions of the world, some so feeling and gentle that only the most sensitive instruments can detect the motion, and others so violent that whole communities are shattered and large sections of terrain are shifted in this process that can start landslides, block rivers, causefloods, and set massive sea waves surging across the oceans. The amount of damage and number of fatalities at a certain location caused by an earthquake depends on various factors: the magnitude and characteristics of the earthquake focus, distance from the epicenter, soil characteristics, density of buildings and population, and structural design of buildings and infrastructures, among others. These facts are playing an important role in decreasing or increasing the number of victims in recent earthquakes, especially in the developing countries. The increasing population in the earthquake-prone cities, poor construction quality and lack of building code enforcement are major reasons why the vulnerability due to earthquake is also increasing.
Research Authors
Sawires, R., Peláez, J.A., Fat-Helbary, R.E., Ibrahim, H.A.
Research Department
Research Journal
S. D’Amico (ed.),Earthquakes and Their Impact on Society,
Springer Natural Hazards, DOI 10.1007/978-3-319-21753-6_4
Research Member
Research Pages
97-136
Research Publisher
Springer International Publishing Switzerland 2016
Research Rank
1
Research Vol
NULL
Research Website
https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-3-319-21753-6_4
Research Year
2016

An earthquake catalogue (2200 B.C. to 2013) for seismotectonic and seismic hazard assessment studies in Egypt

Research Abstract
Of all natural hazards, earthquakes are those which historically have caused the most extensive impact and disruption in terms of damage to infrastructure, human-casualties and economic losses. They are the expression of a continuing evolution of the Earth Planet and a reshaping of the Earth’s surface. They are the most deadly of all natural disasters affecting the human environment. Every year more than one million earthquakes shake different regions of the world, some so feeling and gentle that only the most sensitive instruments can detect the motion, and others so violent that whole communities are shattered and large sections of terrain are shifted in this process that can start landslides, block rivers, causefloods, and set massive sea waves surging across the oceans. The amount of damage and number of fatalities at a certain location caused by an earthquake depends on various factors: the magnitude and characteristics of the earthquake focus, distance from the epicenter, soil characteristics, density of buildings and population, and structural design of buildings and infrastructures, among others. These facts are playing an important role in decreasing or increasing the number of victims in recent earthquakes, especially in the developing countries. The increasing population in the earthquake-prone cities, poor construction quality and lack of building code enforcement are major reasons why the vulnerability due to earthquake is also increasing.
Research Authors
Sawires, R., Peláez, J.A., Fat-Helbary, R.E., Ibrahim, H.A.
Research Department
Research Journal
S. D’Amico (ed.),Earthquakes and Their Impact on Society,
Springer Natural Hazards, DOI 10.1007/978-3-319-21753-6_4
Research Member
Research Pages
97-136
Research Publisher
Springer International Publishing Switzerland 2016
Research Rank
1
Research Vol
NULL
Research Website
https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-3-319-21753-6_4
Research Year
2016

Forecasting moderate earthquakes in Northern Algeria and Morocco

Research Abstract
The studied region, in the northern border of the African Plate, has suffered moderate to strong earthquakes in the last decades. Among them, the September 9, 1954, and the October 10, 1980, El Asnam (formerly known as Orléansville), Algeria, earthquakes, with magnitudes MS6.7 and 7.3, respectively, the February 29, 1960, Agadir, Morocco, M*6.0 earthquake, or the most recent May 21, 2003, Zemmouri-Algiers, Algeria, MW6.8 earthquake. The 1954, 1980 and 2003 Algerian earthquakes caused a large loss of lives (1200, 5000–20,000, according to different estimates, and 2300 people killed, respectively), as well as the 1960 Moroccan earthquake (*12,000 people killed). In all cases, there were a myriad of injured people, left homeless and heavily damaged and destroyed homes due to structural inadequacies of the buildings. Moreover, critical facilities as hospitals or schools were damaged or destroyed in all quoted earthquakes. Only during the 2003 Algerian earthquake, 130 schools suffered extensive to complete damage in the Algiers region (Bendimerad2004). Apart from these large earthquakes, a large amount of small to moderate earthquakes has been also recorded in this area. A review can be read in the works by Peláez et al. (2007) and Hamdache et al. (2010).
Research Authors
Peláez, J.A., Hamdache, M., Sanz de Galdeano, C., Sawires, R., and García Hernández, M.T.
Research Department
Research Journal
S. D’Amico (ed.),Earthquakes and Their Impact on Society,
Springer Natural Hazards, DOI 10.1007/978-3-319-21753-6_3
Research Member
Research Pages
81-95
Research Publisher
Springer International Publishing Switzerland 2016
Research Rank
1
Research Vol
NULL
Research Website
https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-3-319-21753-6_3
Research Year
2016

Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Deaggregation for Selected Egyptian Cities

Research Abstract
A probabilistic seismic hazard analysis in terms of peak ground acceleration (PGA) and spectral acceleration (SA) values has been performed for the Egyptian territory. Eighty-eight potential seismic sources (for shallow- and intermediate-depth seismicity) in and around Egypt were identified and characterized based on an updated and unified earthquake catalog spanning the time period from 2200 B.C. until 2013 A.D. A logic-tree approach was followed, after a sensitivity analysis, to consider the epistemic uncertainty in the different input parameters, including the selected ground-motion attenuation models to predict the ground motion for the different tectonic environments. Then the seismic hazard deaggregation results, in terms of distance and magnitude, for the most important cities in Egypt have been computed to help understanding the relative contributions of the different seismic sources. Seismic hazard deaggregation, in particular, was computed for PGA and SA at periods of 0.2, 1.0 and 2.0 s for rock-site conditions, and for 10% probability of exceedance in 50 years. In general, the results at most of the cities indicate that the distance to the seismic sources which mostly contribute to the seismic hazard is mainly controlled by the nearby seismic sources (especially for PGA). However, distant events contribute more to the hazard for larger spectral periods (for 1.0 and 2.0 s). A significant result of this type of work is that seismic hazard deaggregation provides useful data on the distance and magnitude of the contributing seismic sources to the hazard in a certain place, which can be applied to generate scenario earthquakes and select acceleration records for seismic design.
Research Authors
Sawires, R., Peláez, J.A., Fat-Helbary, R.E., Panzera, F., Ibrahim, H.A., and Hamdache M.
Research Department
Research Journal
Pure and Applied Geophysics
Research Member
Research Pages
DOI 10.1007/s00024-017-1490-5
Research Publisher
Springer International Publishing
Research Rank
1
Research Vol
NULL
Research Website
https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00024-017-1490-5
Research Year
2017

Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Deaggregation for Selected Egyptian Cities

Research Abstract
A probabilistic seismic hazard analysis in terms of peak ground acceleration (PGA) and spectral acceleration (SA) values has been performed for the Egyptian territory. Eighty-eight potential seismic sources (for shallow- and intermediate-depth seismicity) in and around Egypt were identified and characterized based on an updated and unified earthquake catalog spanning the time period from 2200 B.C. until 2013 A.D. A logic-tree approach was followed, after a sensitivity analysis, to consider the epistemic uncertainty in the different input parameters, including the selected ground-motion attenuation models to predict the ground motion for the different tectonic environments. Then the seismic hazard deaggregation results, in terms of distance and magnitude, for the most important cities in Egypt have been computed to help understanding the relative contributions of the different seismic sources. Seismic hazard deaggregation, in particular, was computed for PGA and SA at periods of 0.2, 1.0 and 2.0 s for rock-site conditions, and for 10% probability of exceedance in 50 years. In general, the results at most of the cities indicate that the distance to the seismic sources which mostly contribute to the seismic hazard is mainly controlled by the nearby seismic sources (especially for PGA). However, distant events contribute more to the hazard for larger spectral periods (for 1.0 and 2.0 s). A significant result of this type of work is that seismic hazard deaggregation provides useful data on the distance and magnitude of the contributing seismic sources to the hazard in a certain place, which can be applied to generate scenario earthquakes and select acceleration records for seismic design.
Research Authors
Sawires, R., Peláez, J.A., Fat-Helbary, R.E., Panzera, F., Ibrahim, H.A., and Hamdache M.
Research Department
Research Journal
Pure and Applied Geophysics
Research Member
Research Pages
DOI 10.1007/s00024-017-1490-5
Research Publisher
Springer International Publishing
Research Rank
1
Research Vol
NULL
Research Website
https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00024-017-1490-5
Research Year
2017
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